Receipt

    Filed May 4, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    ARK Investment Management LLC predicted on January 26, 2021: “ARK forecasts that by 2030 the AR market could scale from under a $1 billion today to $130 billion (consumer software revenues). Also: AR & VR markets will grow at a 59% compound annual rate during the next five years, from $3 billion to $28 billion in 2025.” Verdict: Partially right.…

    Prediction by

    ARK Investment Management LLC

    On January 26, 2021

    ARK forecasts that by 2030 the AR market could scale from under a $1 billion today to $130 billion (consumer software revenues). Also: AR & VR markets will grow at a 59% compound annual rate during the next five years, from $3 billion to $28 billion in 2025.

    Follow-up

    AR/VR market was approximately $50B by 2025 (IDC estimates, including hardware/software), exceeding $28B but below trajectory for $130B by 2030 due to headset adoption delays (e.g., Apple Vision Pro underperformed sales forecasts).

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