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    Filed September 6, 2026

    Missed it.

    The short version

    Elon Musk predicted on December 1, 2015: “We're going to achieve complete autonomy… I believe we will have full autonomy in roughly two years.” Verdict: Missed it. Musk stated full autonomy would be achieved in roughly two years (by late 2017). As of 2026, Tesla vehicles still require human drivers and are not legally or technically 'fully autonomous' (Level 4/5).…

    Prediction by

    Elon Musk

    On December 1, 2015

    We're going to achieve complete autonomy… I believe we will have full autonomy in roughly two years.

    Follow-up

    Musk stated full autonomy would be achieved in roughly two years (by late 2017). As of 2026, Tesla vehicles still require human drivers and are not legally or technically 'fully autonomous' (Level 4/5). The timeline was not met.

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