The short version

Elon Musk predicted on April 1, 2019: “By the middle of next year, we’ll have over a million Tesla cars on the road with FSD hardware, feature complete, at a reliability level that we would consider that no one needs to pay attention.” Verdict: Missed it. Musk predicted 'feature complete' FSD requiring no attention by mid-2020 and millions of robotaxis.…

Prediction by

Elon Musk

On April 1, 2019

“By the middle of next year, we’ll have over a million Tesla cars on the road with FSD hardware, feature complete, at a reliability level that we would consider that no one needs to pay attention.”

Follow-up

Musk predicted 'feature complete' FSD requiring no attention by mid-2020 and millions of robotaxis. By mid-2020 and through 2026, FSD still required driver attention, and a robotaxi network was not launched or legally recognized. The prediction was not realized.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.