The short version

Elon Musk predicted on June 1, 2016: “I consider autonomous driving to be a basically solved problem. We’re less than two years away from complete autonomy, safer than humans, but regulations should take at least another year.” Verdict: Missed it. Musk stated technical complete autonomy was less than two years away (by mid-2018). By mid-2018 and through 2026, Tesla vehicles…

Prediction by

Elon Musk

On June 1, 2016

“I consider autonomous driving to be a basically solved problem. We’re less than two years away from complete autonomy, safer than humans, but regulations should take at least another year.”

Follow-up

Musk stated technical complete autonomy was less than two years away (by mid-2018). By mid-2018 and through 2026, Tesla vehicles still required driver supervision and were not considered completely autonomous or approved for unsupervised operation. The timeline was not met.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.