Receipt
Filed April 29, 2026
The short version
Elon Musk predicted on September 29, 2017: “I think we'll be landing on Mars, probably 2024. We want to send an uncrewed vehicle there in 2022.” Verdict: Missed it. The prediction failed, as no uncrewed Starship landed on Mars in 2022, and no crewed mission landed in 2024. SpaceX has pushed the timeline significantly, with uncrewed missions now targeted for…
Prediction by
Elon Musk
On September 29, 2017
“I think we'll be landing on Mars, probably 2024. We want to send an uncrewed vehicle there in 2022.”
Follow-up
The prediction failed, as no uncrewed Starship landed on Mars in 2022, and no crewed mission landed in 2024. SpaceX has pushed the timeline significantly, with uncrewed missions now targeted for 2026 and crewed missions for 2030 or later.
Topics
From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.