The short version

Elon Musk predicted on January 10, 2016: “I think we will do it next year.” Verdict: Missed it. The prediction failed, as the cross-country autonomous drive did not occur in 2017 or any time since, and Tesla's full self-driving remains at Level 2 ADAS as of December 2025, far from Level 5 autonomy, according to Wikipedia [4].

Prediction by

Elon Musk

On January 10, 2016

“I think we will do it next year.”

Follow-up

The prediction failed, as the cross-country autonomous drive did not occur in 2017 or any time since, and Tesla's full self-driving remains at Level 2 ADAS as of December 2025, far from Level 5 autonomy, according to Wikipedia [4].

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.