The short version

Geoffrey Hinton predicted on January 1, 2016: “It’s just completely obvious that within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists.… It might be 10 years, but we’ve got plenty of radiologists already.” Verdict: Called it. Deep learning has not surpassed radiologists; instead, there's a radiologist shortage, and Hinton himself later updated his timeline.

Prediction by

Geoffrey Hinton

On January 1, 2016

“It’s just completely obvious that within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists.… It might be 10 years, but we’ve got plenty of radiologists already.”

Follow-up

Deep learning has not surpassed radiologists; instead, there's a radiologist shortage, and Hinton himself later updated his timeline.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.