The short version

Ray Kurzweil predicted on January 1, 1999: “By 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence and pass the Turing test.” Verdict: Still evolving. By May 2026, computers had not yet achieved human-level intelligence or passed the Turing test, as confirmed by Kurzweil himself and expert consensus on current AI models. However, with three years remaining in the prediction's timeframe and Kurzweil…

Prediction by

Ray Kurzweil

On January 1, 1999

“By 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence and pass the Turing test.”

Follow-up

By May 2026, computers had not yet achieved human-level intelligence or passed the Turing test, as confirmed by Kurzweil himself and expert consensus on current AI models. However, with three years remaining in the prediction's timeframe and Kurzweil reaffirming the 2029 target, the situation is classified as evolving.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.