Pundit
Geoffrey Hinton
3 receipts • Tracked since Apr 2026
Geoffrey Hinton is University Professor Emeritus at the University of Toronto and a 2024 Nobel Prize laureate in Physics. He is known as the 'Godfather of AI' for his foundational work on artificial neural networks and deep learning. He departed Google in May 2023 to publicly advocate for AI safety.
Affiliations
No firm affiliations on record.
— Filed —
3 receipts
2023
1 prediction- May 1, 2023Too early to tell.“it’ll be just 5 to 20 years; I think they’re very close to it now and they will be much more intelligent than us in the future.”
As of April 2026, AI has not surpassed human intelligence. The shortest prediction timeline would be around 2028.
2016
2 predictions- Nov 24, 2016Missed it.“People should stop training radiologists now. It's just completely obvious that within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists.”
Hinton said in late 2016 radiologists would be obsolete within 5 years. Nearly a decade later radiologist demand is at all-time highs; AI augments but has not replaced them.
- Jan 1, 2016Called it.“It’s just completely obvious that within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists.… It might be 10 years, but we’ve got plenty of radiologists already.”
Deep learning has not surpassed radiologists; instead, there's a radiologist shortage, and Hinton himself later updated his timeline.