The short version

Geoffrey Hinton predicted on May 1, 2023: “it’ll be just 5 to 20 years; I think they’re very close to it now and they will be much more intelligent than us in the future.” Verdict: Too early to tell. As of April 2026, AI has not surpassed human intelligence. The shortest prediction timeline would be around 2028.

Prediction by

Geoffrey Hinton

On May 1, 2023

“it’ll be just 5 to 20 years; I think they’re very close to it now and they will be much more intelligent than us in the future.”

Follow-up

As of April 2026, AI has not surpassed human intelligence. The shortest prediction timeline would be around 2028.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.