Nate Silver

    Pundit

    Nate Silver

    1 receipt • Tracked since Apr 2026

    Nate Silver is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, where he served as editor-in-chief until 2023, and now publishes statistical insights on politics, culture, and more via his Silver Bulletin Substack with nearly 250,000 subscribers. A leading statistician and data journalist, he gained fame for accurately predicting the 2008 U.S. presidential election in 49 states and all 50 states in 2012. He is the bestselling author of 'The Signal and the Noise' and 'On the Edge,' with expertise in baseball anal

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    1 receipt

    2016

    1 prediction
    1. Jun 29, 2016Missed it.
      “She's taking a 7-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime. There's a lot of football left to be played. She's ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”

      Nate Silver predicted that Hillary Clinton had a 79% chance of winning the 2016 US Presidential election against Donald Trump. Donald Trump ultimately won the election.