The short version

Nate Silver predicted on June 29, 2016: “She's taking a 7-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime. There's a lot of football left to be played. She's ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.'... Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning, compared with Trump's 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.” Verdict: Missed it. Nate Silver…

Prediction by

Nate Silver

On June 29, 2016

“She's taking a 7-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime. There's a lot of football left to be played. She's ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.'... Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning, compared with Trump's 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.”

Follow-up

Nate Silver predicted that Hillary Clinton had a 79% chance of winning the 2016 US Presidential election against Donald Trump. Donald Trump ultimately won the election.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.