Receipt

    Filed July 18, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    Ari Paparo predicted on December 1, 2024: “TikTok didn't get banned, but it will be controlled by a US entity.” Verdict: Partially right. TikTok has not been fully banned in the U.S., consistent with the first part of the prediction. However, it has not definitively been transferred to control by a U.S. entity as of mid-2026. The situation remains fluid,…

    Prediction by

    Ari Paparo

    On December 1, 2024

    TikTok didn't get banned, but it will be controlled by a US entity.

    Follow-up

    TikTok has not been fully banned in the U.S., consistent with the first part of the prediction. However, it has not definitively been transferred to control by a U.S. entity as of mid-2026. The situation remains fluid, with ongoing negotiations but no final structure matching his prediction.

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