The short version

Ari Paparo predicted on September 3, 2025: “The data-sharing remedy "seems extremely unlikely to blunt Google's market share."” Verdict: Called it. By mid-2026, publicly reported search-engine market-share data show Google maintaining very high market share in general search, with only modest changes despite the remedies and the rise of generative AI-based alternatives. There is no public evidence that the specific…

Prediction by

Ari Paparo

On September 3, 2025

“The data-sharing remedy "seems extremely unlikely to blunt Google's market share."”

Follow-up

By mid-2026, publicly reported search-engine market-share data show Google maintaining very high market share in general search, with only modest changes despite the remedies and the rise of generative AI-based alternatives. There is no public evidence that the specific remedy described (limited data sharing with “qualified competitors,” excluding ad data) has significantly reduced Google’s share of general search or search text ads.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.