Receipt

    Filed August 31, 2026

    Called it.

    The short version

    Brian Lesser predicted on September 25, 2018: “I don't believe – nor does anybody on the team believe – that subscription video on demand services could possibly pay for all the content being developed” Verdict: Called it. Right. Contrarian at the time - Netflix and Amazon were proudly ad-free. Within four years every major SVOD service had reversed into advertising:…

    Prediction by

    Brian Lesser

    On September 25, 2018

    I don't believe – nor does anybody on the team believe – that subscription video on demand services could possibly pay for all the content being developed

    Follow-up

    Right. Contrarian at the time - Netflix and Amazon were proudly ad-free. Within four years every major SVOD service had reversed into advertising: Netflix launched Basic with Ads in November 2022, Disney+ followed in December 2022, and Max, Peacock, Paramount+ and Prime Video all sell ads today. Content economics forced exactly the outcome Lesser called.

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