Receipt

    Filed May 6, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    Brian Wieser predicted on September 4, 2024: “Wieser believes things will naturally decelerate in the back half and eventually level out to a more typical, mid-single-digit growth rate – down from 7.2% overall in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025.” Verdict: Partially right. 2024 growth was accurate (~7.5%), but 2025 growth was slightly overestimated, with actual growth around 4.2% YTD through…

    Prediction by

    Brian Wieser

    On September 4, 2024

    Wieser believes things will naturally decelerate in the back half and eventually level out to a more typical, mid-single-digit growth rate – down from 7.2% overall in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025.

    Follow-up

    2024 growth was accurate (~7.5%), but 2025 growth was slightly overestimated, with actual growth around 4.2% YTD through Q1 2026.

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