Receipt

    Filed April 28, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    Cathie Wood predicted on January 1, 2018: “…the demand for EVs should be orders of magnitude higher than current forecasts.” Verdict: Partially right. Global EV sales increased significantly from ~2 million in 2018 to ~18 million in 2025 (a 9x increase), exceeding many pre-2018 forecasts. However, the 'orders of magnitude' claim (implying a 10x+ increase) has not been fully met,…

    Prediction by

    Cathie Wood

    On January 1, 2018

    …the demand for EVs should be orders of magnitude higher than current forecasts.

    Follow-up

    Global EV sales increased significantly from ~2 million in 2018 to ~18 million in 2025 (a 9x increase), exceeding many pre-2018 forecasts. However, the 'orders of magnitude' claim (implying a 10x+ increase) has not been fully met, with EV penetration at about 20% of new car sales by 2025, rather than a more rapid acceleration.

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