Receipt
Filed April 28, 2026
The short version
Cathie Wood predicted on January 1, 2018: “…the demand for EVs should be orders of magnitude higher than current forecasts.” Verdict: Partially right. Global EV sales increased significantly from ~2 million in 2018 to ~18 million in 2025 (a 9x increase), exceeding many pre-2018 forecasts. However, the 'orders of magnitude' claim (implying a 10x+ increase) has not been fully met,…
Prediction by
Cathie Wood
On January 1, 2018
“…the demand for EVs should be orders of magnitude higher than current forecasts.”
Follow-up
Global EV sales increased significantly from ~2 million in 2018 to ~18 million in 2025 (a 9x increase), exceeding many pre-2018 forecasts. However, the 'orders of magnitude' claim (implying a 10x+ increase) has not been fully met, with EV penetration at about 20% of new car sales by 2025, rather than a more rapid acceleration.
Original source
ARK Invest "Big Ideas 2018" reportEvidence
Topics
From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.
