Receipt

    Filed September 6, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    Chamath Palihapitiya predicted on September 30, 2020: “Regardless of whether it’s the Democrats or Republicans in power, if your goal is to achieve returns, you must adopt a long position, and you will likely be rewarded. I believe the markets are set to rise.” Verdict: Partially right. Broadly correct that long positions were rewarded over several years (2020-2025), but incorrect…

    Prediction by

    Chamath Palihapitiya

    On September 30, 2020

    Regardless of whether it’s the Democrats or Republicans in power, if your goal is to achieve returns, you must adopt a long position, and you will likely be rewarded. I believe the markets are set to rise.

    Follow-up

    Broadly correct that long positions were rewarded over several years (2020-2025), but incorrect on continuous rise due to significant drawdown in 2022.

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    From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.