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    Chamath Palihapitiya

    Pundit

    Chamath Palihapitiya

    4 receipts • Tracked since Apr 2026

    Chamath Palihapitiya is the founder and CEO of Social Capital, a technology investment firm focused on healthcare, AI, climate, and space, and co-founder and CEO of 8090, an AI company. A former senior executive at Facebook from 2007-2011, he is known for pioneering SPAC deals, holding a minority stake in the Golden State Warriors, and co-hosting the All-In podcast on tech and business.

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    No firm affiliations on record.

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    4 receipts

    2021

    1 prediction
    1. Jan 7, 2021Too early to tell.
      “It's probably going to $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000. ... In what period? I don't know. [Maybe] five or 10 years, but it's going there.”

      Palihapitiya gave a five-to-10-year window in January 2021, so the test runs to 2026-2031. Bitcoin passed his first $100,000 marker and hit a record near $126,000 in October 2025, but trades near $86,000 in September 2026. The $150,000 and $200,000 marks have not been reached yet.

    2020

    2 predictions
    1. Sep 30, 2020Partially right.
      “Regardless of whether it’s the Democrats or Republicans in power, if your goal is to achieve returns, you must adopt a long position, and you will likely be rewarded. I believe the markets are set to rise.”

      Broadly correct that long positions were rewarded over several years (2020-2025), but incorrect on continuous rise due to significant drawdown in 2022.

    2. Jun 17, 2020Partially right.
      “Are they going to get broken up? Yes. Will every single government go after them? Absolutely. First, they’ll [be] taxed to death, then they’ll get trust-busted. On the margin, over the next 10 years… regulators will get their way. The pendulum will swing for [Facebook] to be more sort of Middle America, the sort of ‘Fox News’ of social media, as Twitter meanwhile swings to the coastal cities in the United States.”

      Regulatory pressure and social media polarization are directionally correct. No major breakups or 'taxed to death' by 2026. Prediction is for 'next 10 years', so final judgment pending.

    2016

    1 prediction
    1. Dec 11, 2016Called it.
      “I think you’re going to have probably two years of market highs in the U.S. equities.”

      US equity indices generally trended upward with new highs from late 2016 through most of 2018, fulfilling the 'two years of market highs' forecast.