The short version

Chamath Palihapitiya predicted on February 22, 2021: “Bitcoin will probably get to $200,000, then a million dollars, in the next decade.” Verdict: Partially right. Bitcoin reached $126,198.07 by October 2025, partially fulfilling the prediction of reaching $200,000 within a decade. However, it did not sustain that level and fell short of the $200,000 target by early May 2026, while the…

Prediction by

Chamath Palihapitiya

On February 22, 2021

“Bitcoin will probably get to $200,000, then a million dollars, in the next decade.”

Follow-up

Bitcoin reached $126,198.07 by October 2025, partially fulfilling the prediction of reaching $200,000 within a decade. However, it did not sustain that level and fell short of the $200,000 target by early May 2026, while the $1 million target remains unresolved.

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