The short version

Chamath Palihapitiya predicted on January 7, 2021: “It's probably going to $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000. ... In what period? I don't know. [Maybe] five or 10 years, but it's going there.” Verdict: Too early to tell. Palihapitiya gave a five-to-10-year window in January 2021, so the test runs to 2026-2031. Bitcoin passed his first $100,000 marker and hit a…

Prediction by

Chamath Palihapitiya

On January 7, 2021

“It's probably going to $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000. ... In what period? I don't know. [Maybe] five or 10 years, but it's going there.”

Follow-up

Palihapitiya gave a five-to-10-year window in January 2021, so the test runs to 2026-2031. Bitcoin passed his first $100,000 marker and hit a record near $126,000 in October 2025, but trades near $86,000 in September 2026. The $150,000 and $200,000 marks have not been reached yet.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.