— Topic —

    Crypto

    4 receipts tracked • 67% industry hit rate

    — Filed —

    4 receipts on Crypto

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    RECEIPT #GARY-V

    NOV 21, 2021

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Gary Vaynerchuk
    “98-99% of NFT projects from this '2021 NFT Year' will end up being bad investments ... this is a gold rush and 99-2000 internet stock eras ... some big big winners but a lot of carnage, play with what u can afford to lose”

    FOLLOW-UP

    NFT trading volume collapsed 97% from its January 2022 peak ($17B to $466M) by September 2022, and most 2021-era PFP projects lost effectively all value.

    RECEIPT #JOE-PU

    JAN 06, 2025

    Missed it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Joe Pulizzi
    “Bitcoin to double during 2025 (from roughly $94K at publication, implying ~$188K).”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Bitcoin peaked well below double in 2025 and traded around $78K as of August 29, 2026 (CoinDesk price index) - below where the prediction was made, let alone doubled.

    RECEIPT #CHAMAT

    JAN 07, 2021

    Too early to tell.
    “It's probably going to $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000. ... In what period? I don't know. [Maybe] five or 10 years, but it's going there.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Palihapitiya gave a five-to-10-year window in January 2021, so the test runs to 2026-2031. Bitcoin passed his first $100,000 marker and hit a record near $126,000 in October 2025, but trades near $86,000 in September 2026. The $150,000 and $200,000 marks have not been reached yet.

    RECEIPT #MICHAE

    JUN 01, 2021

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Michael Burry
    “The mother of all crashes”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Crypto market value plummeted significantly after his warning, dropping from around $3 trillion to $850 billion, indicating a substantial 'crash' as predicted.