— Topic —
4 receipts tracked • 13% industry hit rate
— Filed —
RECEIPT #CHAMAT
DEC 17, 2020
PREDICTION BY
Chamath Palihapitiya“I'm the next Warren Buffett.”
FOLLOW-UP
Chamath crowned himself the next Buffett at the SPAC peak. His IPOA-F vehicles (Clover, Opendoor, SoFi, Virgin Galactic) collectively destroyed billions in retail wealth by 2023; he wound down the SPAC franchise in 2022.
RECEIPT #CRAMER
MAR 11, 2008
PREDICTION BY
Jim Cramer“Bear Stearns is fine! Do not take your money out. ... Bear Stearns is not in trouble.”
FOLLOW-UP
Cramer told a viewer on March 11, 2008 that Bear Stearns was fine. Five days later JPMorgan acquired Bear for $2/share in a Fed-backed fire sale. Iconic bad call.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CNBCRECEIPT #CRAMER
OCT 27, 2022
PREDICTION BY
Jim Cramer“Meta is no longer investable. ... I trusted this management team. That was ill-advised.”
FOLLOW-UP
Cramer declared Meta uninvestable at ~$97/share in Oct 2022. Stock then ran from ~$90 to over $700 by 2024 — one of the great recoveries of the decade. Inverse-Cramer at its purest.
RECEIPT #CHAMAT
FEB 22, 2021
PREDICTION BY
Chamath Palihapitiya“Bitcoin will probably get to $200,000, then a million dollars, in the next decade.”
FOLLOW-UP
Bitcoin reached $126,198.07 by October 2025, partially fulfilling the prediction of reaching $200,000 within a decade. However, it did not sustain that level and fell short of the $200,000 target by early May 2026, while the $1 million target remains unresolved.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CNBC