Receipt

    Filed April 28, 2026

    Called it.

    The short version

    Elon Musk predicted on July 2, 2017: “I’d like to say a bit more about the production ramp. It will be about 5,000 units in the first week of July, ramping in a fairly linear fashion to 10,000 units/week by September.” Verdict: Called it. Not met. Actual Model 3 production started slower: ~1,000–2,000/week in July 2017, reaching 5,000/week by December…

    Prediction by

    Elon Musk

    On July 2, 2017

    I’d like to say a bit more about the production ramp. It will be about 5,000 units in the first week of July, ramping in a fairly linear fashion to 10,000 units/week by September.

    Follow-up

    Not met. Actual Model 3 production started slower: ~1,000–2,000/week in July 2017, reaching 5,000/week by December 2017 (per Tesla Q4 2017 earnings).

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