— Topic —
9 receipts tracked • 92% industry hit rate
— Filed —
RECEIPT #SCOTT-
JAN 03, 2025
PREDICTION BY
Scott Galloway“The AI Company of 2025: Meta. No business is better positioned to register progress in AI than Meta.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
No Mercy / No MaliceRECEIPT #SCOTT-
JAN 03, 2025
PREDICTION BY
Scott Galloway“The AI Company of 2025: Meta. No business is better positioned to register progress in AI than Meta.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
No Mercy / No MaliceRECEIPT #JAY-PA
JAN 13, 2026
PREDICTION BY
Jay Pattisall“It’s absolutely signifying a shift towards media and technology scale as key foundational elements for what the legacy holding companies will reorganize around.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
Marketing DiveRECEIPT #ALEX-K
DEC 23, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Alex Kantrowitz“2025: Year of the Brain Computer Interface... Next year, we’ll meet many more Noland Arbaughs and the technology will begin to capture the popular imagination.”
FOLLOW-UP
Kantrowitz's prediction was partially right as BCIs captured significant technological and media attention with new product announcements and market growth, but the evidence does not show that "many more Noland Arbaughs" emerged as public figures.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CMSWireRECEIPT #ELON-M
AUG 28, 2019
PREDICTION BY
Elon Musk“Neuralink will have solved [high data-rate brain-machine interface] within a few years. The first humans could receive an implant as early as 2020.”
FOLLOW-UP
Delayed. First human implant January 28, 2024 (Noland Arbaugh, per Neuralink FDA approval Nov 2023).
ORIGINAL SOURCE
www.youtube.comRECEIPT #ELON-M
APR 01, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Elon Musk“Grok 1.5 will be the most powerful model in the world by every metric next week.”
FOLLOW-UP
Not achieved. Grok-1.5 released April 2024; benchmarks (e.g., LMSYS Arena) placed it behind GPT-4o, Claude 3 Opus, and Gemini 1.5 Pro.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
twitter.comRECEIPT #ELON-M
JAN 09, 2020
PREDICTION BY
Elon Musk“Cybertruck starts production in 2021. Will have both steel and aluminum versions.”
FOLLOW-UP
Delayed significantly. Production began late 2023 at ~1 vehicle/day initially (Tesla Q4 2023 update). First deliveries November 30, 2023.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
twitter.comRECEIPT #ELON-M
JUL 02, 2017
PREDICTION BY
Elon Musk“I’d like to say a bit more about the production ramp. It will be about 5,000 units in the first week of July, ramping in a fairly linear fashion to 10,000 units/week by September.”
FOLLOW-UP
Not met. Actual Model 3 production started slower: ~1,000–2,000/week in July 2017, reaching 5,000/week by December 2017 (per Tesla Q4 2017 earnings).
ORIGINAL SOURCE
twitter.comRECEIPT #ELON-M
DEC 15, 2015
PREDICTION BY
Elon Musk“All Tesla cars being produced now have full self-driving hardware... I believe we will be able to roll out Full Self-Driving in California next year [2016] and in all US states in 2017.”
FOLLOW-UP
Not achieved. Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) software has remained in beta with supervised autonomy as of 2026. No unsupervised robotaxi deployment occurred in 2016–2017; regulatory approvals delayed rollout.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
twitter.com