Receipt

    Filed April 29, 2026

    Missed it.

    The short version

    Elon Musk predicted on April 22, 2019: “I feel very confident predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year. ... operating robotaxis next year with no one in them.” Verdict: Missed it. Elon Musk's prediction of over a million autonomous Tesla robotaxis on the road by "next year for sure" (2020) clearly failed to materialize, as confirmed by Tesla's own records…

    Prediction by

    Elon Musk

    On April 22, 2019

    “I feel very confident predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year. ... operating robotaxis next year with no one in them.”

    Follow-up

    Elon Musk's prediction of over a million autonomous Tesla robotaxis on the road by "next year for sure" (2020) clearly failed to materialize, as confirmed by Tesla's own records and Wikipedia, with no robotaxi deployments that year. Subsequent predictions for robotaxi functionality also did not come true.

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