The short version

Elon Musk predicted on April 22, 2019: “I feel very confident predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year. From our standpoint, if you fast forward a year, maybe a year and three months, but next year for sure, we will have over a million robotaxis on the road.” Verdict: Missed it. Elon Musk's prediction of over a million autonomous Tesla…

Prediction by

Elon Musk

On April 22, 2019

“I feel very confident predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year. From our standpoint, if you fast forward a year, maybe a year and three months, but next year for sure, we will have over a million robotaxis on the road.”

Follow-up

Elon Musk's prediction of over a million autonomous Tesla robotaxis on the road by "next year for sure" (2020) clearly failed to materialize, as confirmed by Tesla's own records and Wikipedia, with no robotaxi deployments that year. Subsequent predictions for robotaxi functionality also did not come true.

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