The short version

Marc Andreessen predicted on January 1, 2011: “You uh in 2011, you said that in 10 years we're going to have 5 billion people using smartphones.” Verdict: Partially right. By 2021, smartphone users were in the 3-4+ billion range, not quite 5 billion, but clearly on a steep growth trajectory. The 5-billion mark was reached a few years later in…

Prediction by

Marc Andreessen

On January 1, 2011

“You uh in 2011, you said that in 10 years we're going to have 5 billion people using smartphones.”

Follow-up

By 2021, smartphone users were in the 3-4+ billion range, not quite 5 billion, but clearly on a steep growth trajectory. The 5-billion mark was reached a few years later in the mid-2020s. The prediction was directionally correct but slightly early on the exact timing.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.