Receipt

    Filed April 28, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    Rodney Brooks predicted on January 1, 2018: “Electric cars hit 30% of US car sales. NET 2027.” Verdict: Partially right. As of Q3 2024, US electric vehicle sales reached only 8.9%. Brooks updated on Jan 1, 2025: 'There is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic.'

    Prediction by

    Rodney Brooks

    On January 1, 2018

    Electric cars hit 30% of US car sales. NET 2027.

    Follow-up

    As of Q3 2024, US electric vehicle sales reached only 8.9%. Brooks updated on Jan 1, 2025: 'There is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic.'

    Original source

    rodneybrooks.com

    Evidence

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    From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.