The short version

Rodney Brooks predicted on January 1, 2025: “Here is a CEO of a humanoid robot company saying that they will be in 10% of US households by 2030. Absolutely no technology (even without the problems above) has ever come close to scaling at that rate.” Verdict: Too early to tell. This is a critique of another CEO's prediction made in…

Prediction by

Rodney Brooks

On January 1, 2025

“Here is a CEO of a humanoid robot company saying that they will be in 10% of US households by 2030. Absolutely no technology (even without the problems above) has ever come close to scaling at that rate.”

Follow-up

This is a critique of another CEO's prediction made in 2025. Brooks is essentially predicting the failure of this 2030 target. It is too early to judge the outcome of the CEO's prediction, and by extension, Brooks' skepticism.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.