— Topic —
6 receipts tracked
— Filed —
RECEIPT #CATHIE
FEB 23, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Cathie Wood“ARK anticipates that if robotaxi platforms flourish, EVs could account for 95–100% of all vehicle sales in 2030.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CMC MarketsRECEIPT #CATHIE
FEB 23, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Cathie Wood“ARK anticipates that if robotaxi platforms flourish, EVs could account for 95–100% of all vehicle sales in 2030.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CMC MarketsRECEIPT #CATHIE
FEB 23, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Cathie Wood“Robotaxi platforms — the convergence point of EVs, AI and robotics — could generate $28trn in enterprise value over the next five to 10 years.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CMC MarketsRECEIPT #CATHIE
FEB 23, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Cathie Wood“ARK estimates that generalised robots could unlock over $24trn in revenue per year.”
FOLLOW-UP
Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
CMC MarketsRECEIPT #ELON-M
APR 23, 2024
PREDICTION BY
Elon Musk“Optimus is going to be incredible in 5 years — like 10 years, hard to believe — but I think Optimus will be the biggest product ever of any kind.”
FOLLOW-UP
By January 2026, Elon Musk confirmed low production of Optimus robots for Tesla factories with external sales hoped for later in 2026 or 2027, indicating initial progress, but the 'incredible' or 'biggest product ever' status, massive scale, and market dominance are not yet evident and the prediction is still unfolding.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
Tesla Q1 2024 earnings callRECEIPT #RODNEY
JAN 01, 2025
PREDICTION BY
Rodney Brooks“Here is a CEO of a humanoid robot company saying that they will be in 10% of US households by 2030. Absolutely no technology (even without the problems above) has ever come close to scaling at that rate.”
FOLLOW-UP
This is a critique of another CEO's prediction made in 2025. Brooks is essentially predicting the failure of this 2030 target. It is too early to judge the outcome of the CEO's prediction, and by extension, Brooks' skepticism.
ORIGINAL SOURCE
rodneybrooks.com