The short version

Rodney Brooks predicted on January 1, 2018: “Electric car sales in the US make up essentially 100% of the sales. NET 2038.” Verdict: Still evolving. The prediction is considered "evolving" because while the target date of 2038 has not yet arrived, current sales figures (8.9% in Q3 2024) and updated assessments by the predictor himself indicate that the 100% target…

Prediction by

Rodney Brooks

On January 1, 2018

“Electric car sales in the US make up essentially 100% of the sales. NET 2038.”

Follow-up

The prediction is considered "evolving" because while the target date of 2038 has not yet arrived, current sales figures (8.9% in Q3 2024) and updated assessments by the predictor himself indicate that the 100% target is highly unlikely to be met, with even a more modest 30% by 2027 now "at risk"[1][2].

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.