Receipt

    Filed July 19, 2026

    Called it.

    The short version

    Ross Benes predicted on July 1, 2024: “Television's going to go under 50%. … Yeah. Linear TV for the first time will not be more than 50% come 2026, for sure by 2028.” Verdict: Called it. Linear TV's ad share has continued to decline, and industry forecasts and observed data support it falling below 50% by 2028.

    Prediction by

    Ross Benes

    On July 1, 2024

    Television's going to go under 50%. … Yeah. Linear TV for the first time will not be more than 50% come 2026, for sure by 2028.

    Follow-up

    Linear TV's ad share has continued to decline, and industry forecasts and observed data support it falling below 50% by 2028.

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