Receipt

    Filed May 4, 2026

    Called it.

    The short version

    Ben Thompson predicted on April 26, 2021: “Apple's ATT will accelerate the shift to first-party data and benefit the largest platforms with logged-in users — Facebook included, eventually.” Verdict: Called it. Thompson predicted ATT would ultimately strengthen the biggest logged-in platforms despite short-term Meta pain. Confirmed: Meta rebuilt its ad stack with AI (Andromeda, Advantage+) and posted record revenue 2023–25,…

    Prediction by

    Ben Thompson

    On April 26, 2021

    Apple's ATT will accelerate the shift to first-party data and benefit the largest platforms with logged-in users — Facebook included, eventually.

    Follow-up

    Thompson predicted ATT would ultimately strengthen the biggest logged-in platforms despite short-term Meta pain. Confirmed: Meta rebuilt its ad stack with AI (Andromeda, Advantage+) and posted record revenue 2023–25, while small advertisers and the open web absorbed the damage.

    Original source

    Stratechery

    Evidence

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    From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.