The short version

Brian Wieser predicted on March 25, 2024: “The industry analyst now expects 5.6% growth in 2024, up from a prior 5.2% annual growth forecast.” Verdict: Partially right. Wieser's 5.6% forecast for 2024 was subsequently revised upward multiple times, eventually reaching ~9% by year-end. This forecast also understated the actual stronger performance.

Prediction by

Brian Wieser

On March 25, 2024

“The industry analyst now expects 5.6% growth in 2024, up from a prior 5.2% annual growth forecast.”

Follow-up

Wieser's 5.6% forecast for 2024 was subsequently revised upward multiple times, eventually reaching ~9% by year-end. This forecast also understated the actual stronger performance.

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