The short version

Brian Wieser predicted on September 4, 2024: “But Wieser believes things will naturally decelerate in the back half and eventually level out to a more typical, mid-single-digit growth rate – down from 7.2% overall in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025.” Verdict: Partially right. The prediction for a deceleration to mid-single-digit growth for 2025 was directionally correct, but his specific 5.3%…

Prediction by

Brian Wieser

On September 4, 2024

“But Wieser believes things will naturally decelerate in the back half and eventually level out to a more typical, mid-single-digit growth rate – down from 7.2% overall in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025.”

Follow-up

The prediction for a deceleration to mid-single-digit growth for 2025 was directionally correct, but his specific 5.3% figure was changed multiple times in subsequent forecasts based on new data. He eventually upgraded his 2025 outlook to 6.0%.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.