Receipt

    Filed May 18, 2026

    Partially right.

    The short version

    Brian Wieser predicted on September 4, 2024: “Wieser “believes things will naturally decelerate in the back half and eventually level out to a more typical, mid-single-digit growth rate – down from 7.2% overall in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025.”” Verdict: Partially right. The prediction of deceleration was right, but the specific 5.3% growth rate for 2025 was revised downward by…

    Prediction by

    Brian Wieser

    On September 4, 2024

    Wieser “believes things will naturally decelerate in the back half and eventually level out to a more typical, mid-single-digit growth rate – down from 7.2% overall in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025.”

    Follow-up

    The prediction of deceleration was right, but the specific 5.3% growth rate for 2025 was revised downward by Wieser himself, suggesting it was an overestimation.

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