Receipt

    Filed May 5, 2026

    Missed it.

    The short version

    Michael Nathanson predicted on December 1, 2024: “Connected TV (CTV) will continue to gain in years to come -- $19 billion (in 2026) and $22 billion (in 2027, averaging a 16% hike over a three-year period).” Verdict: Missed it. The prediction clearly failed when projections from eMarketer, IAB, and StackAdapt all estimated ~$38 billion in U.S. CTV ad spend for…

    Prediction by

    Michael Nathanson

    On December 1, 2024

    Connected TV (CTV) will continue to gain in years to come -- $19 billion (in 2026) and $22 billion (in 2027, averaging a 16% hike over a three-year period).

    Follow-up

    The prediction clearly failed when projections from eMarketer, IAB, and StackAdapt all estimated ~$38 billion in U.S. CTV ad spend for 2026, significantly higher than Nathanson's $19 billion forecast.

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    From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.