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    Filed May 4, 2026

    Called it.

    The short version

    Paul Graham predicted on October 1, 2007: “My first prediction about the future of web startups is pretty straightforward: there will be a lot of them. When starting a startup was expensive, you had to get the permission of investors to do it. Now the only threshold is courage.” Verdict: Called it. Global startup formation exploded 2010s-2020s; YC alone went…

    Prediction by

    Paul Graham

    On October 1, 2007

    My first prediction about the future of web startups is pretty straightforward: there will be a lot of them. When starting a startup was expensive, you had to get the permission of investors to do it. Now the only threshold is courage.

    Follow-up

    Global startup formation exploded 2010s-2020s; YC alone went from ~40 cos/batch in 2007 to 200+/batch by 2021.

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