— Topic —

    Cookieless & Identity

    1 receipt tracked • 100% industry hit rate

    Post-cookie identity, Privacy Sandbox, attribution.

    — Filed —

    1 receipt on Cookieless & Identity

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    RECEIPT #SEUFER

    JAN 04, 2021

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Eric Seufert
    I believe that Apple's upcoming iOS privacy changes will significantly harm Facebook's revenue, causing a roughly 7% revenue impairment in Q2 2021 in the base case scenario.

    FOLLOW-UP

    Meta itself estimated ATT cost it ~$10B in 2022 (~8% of ad revenue), validating Seufert's base case almost exactly — and he called it 9 months before ATT even rolled out.