The short version

Brian Wieser predicted on December 10, 2024: ““he’s already tamped down his expectations for the new year, calling for growth of 4.5%.”” Verdict: Partially right. This 4.5% forecast for 2025 was subsequently downgraded to 3.6% in March 2025, and then surprisingly upgraded to 6.0% in June 2025. This shows the initial prediction was not stable and evolved with new data.…

Prediction by

Brian Wieser

On December 10, 2024

““he’s already tamped down his expectations for the new year, calling for growth of 4.5%.””

Follow-up

This 4.5% forecast for 2025 was subsequently downgraded to 3.6% in March 2025, and then surprisingly upgraded to 6.0% in June 2025. This shows the initial prediction was not stable and evolved with new data.

From the High Caliber AI network — see the AI for PR module in the course.