— Topic —

    Ai Search

    4 receipts tracked • 0% industry hit rate

    — Filed —

    4 receipts on Ai Search

    Browse all →

    RECEIPT #ANDREW

    SEP 23, 2014

    Missed it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Andrew Ng
    “In five years, we think 50 percent of queries will be on speech or images.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Missed. At the time, about 10% of Baidu queries were voice. Halfway through the window (2016), Google said roughly 10-20% of its mobile queries were voice - and no measurement before or after the 2019-2020 deadline ever put voice plus image search anywhere near 50% of all searches. The stat lived on for years misattributed to Comscore, which confirmed it never published it. Mary Meeker amplified the forecast in her Internet Trends 2016 deck as "by 2020, at least 50% of all searches".

    RECEIPT #ADITYA

    APR 28, 2026

    Too early to tell.

    PREDICTION BY

    Aditya Jain
    “Sundep on this like timeline wise what we are seeing with clients is you can generate uplift within 15 to 30 days at max and that's the timelines I think every marketer should get used to in terms of how they're seeing um like just I think any marketing channel today just because of how quickly these platforms update like Google used to release an update once every year then once every six months and now they release an update almost every couple of weeks and these AI search channels change a lot quicker. So that's the type of kind of core update cycle you should be focusing on.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.

    RECEIPT #KATHER

    APR 28, 2026

    Too early to tell.

    PREDICTION BY

    Katherine Toms
    “If you start to look at what's predicted to happen between 26 and 28 all these things start to very very quickly snowball and become really really mainstream. And I think the prediction is that some point around about 28 that is going to flip and switch and we will start seeing that real decline in using old-fashioned Google and that uplift in AI habits just being the norm and what we do.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.

    RECEIPT #KATHER

    APR 28, 2026

    Too early to tell.

    PREDICTION BY

    Katherine Toms
    “If we want to capitalize on that traffic shift, we're in the right place now to start building for it. We're not sitting at the end of 28 going, "Oh god, it's falling off a cliff. What am I doing?" We're getting ahead of that curve and we're in the right right place to make this your competitive advantage.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.