— Topic —

    Politics

    4 receipts tracked • 25% industry hit rate

    — Filed —

    4 receipts on Politics

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    RECEIPT #ALEX-K

    DEC 23, 2024

    Too early to tell.

    PREDICTION BY

    Alex Kantrowitz
    TikTok Stays... Trump finds a way to get the government to accept that TikTok has fulfilled its divestment obligations by walling off U.S. data (pay attention to TikTok’s U.S. Distributed Service unit) and the app stays on U.S. app stores.

    FOLLOW-UP

    Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.

    ORIGINAL SOURCE

    www.cmswire.com

    RECEIPT #ALEX-K

    DEC 23, 2024

    Too early to tell.

    PREDICTION BY

    Alex Kantrowitz
    TikTok Stays... Trump finds a way to get the government to accept that TikTok has fulfilled its divestment obligations by walling off U.S. data (pay attention to TikTok’s U.S. Distributed Service unit) and the app stays on U.S. app stores.

    FOLLOW-UP

    Filed for tracking. Outcome to be evaluated as the timeline plays out.

    ORIGINAL SOURCE

    www.cmswire.com

    RECEIPT #HSU-DE

    JUN 25, 2023

    Partially right.

    PREDICTION BY

    Tiffany Hsu
    AI-generated misinformation will define the 2024 election cycle in a way that makes 2016 look quaint.

    FOLLOW-UP

    Hsu's pre-2024 warning. Deepfakes did appear (Biden robocall, fake Trump arrest images), but feared mass election-deciding wave didn't materialize — platform guardrails + media literacy held better than expected.

    ORIGINAL SOURCE

    NYT

    EVIDENCE

    RECEIPT #ALEX-K

    DEC 23, 2024

    Missed it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Alex Kantrowitz
    TikTok Stays... To me, the most likely scenario, is Trump finds a way to get the government to accept that TikTok has fulfilled its divestment obligations by walling off U.S. data (pay attention to TikTok’s U.S. Distributed Service unit) and the app stays on U.S. app stores.

    FOLLOW-UP

    TikTok did not stay in the U.S. solely by walling off U.S. data, as courts rejected this measure. Instead, a qualified divestiture was mandated and is in progress via a joint venture with majority U.S. ownership, as evidenced by Executive Order 14310 and the Supreme Court upholding the law without data-wall exceptions.