— Topic —

    Hardware

    2 receipts tracked • 75% industry hit rate

    — Filed —

    2 receipts on Hardware

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    RECEIPT #BEN-TH

    SEP 10, 2024

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Ben Thompson
    I wrote that Apple was in its middle age in 2018, when the company was 42 years old, a solidly millennial definition. My argument then was that Apple was increasingly — and rightly — behaving like an incumbent in a market that was no longer growing. That meant that future iPhone growth would come from (1) more expensive iPhones, (2) selling more devices to existing iPhone users (AirPods, Watches, etc.), and (3) accelerating the revenue it derived from services for iPhone users. That is exactly what the company did over the ensuing few years...

    FOLLOW-UP

    Thompson accurately predicted the three main growth vectors for Apple: more expensive iPhones, increased sales of ancillary devices, and accelerated services revenue. The article itself states that 'That is exactly what the company did over the ensuing few years...'

    RECEIPT #BEN-TH

    MAY 01, 2024

    Partially right.

    PREDICTION BY

    Ben Thompson
    In yesterday’s Update I wrote that I believed that Apple would surely raise prices this year; that $999 iPhone Pro is now $177 cheaper than in 2020 in real terms, and Apple is very adept at capturing the value it creates.

    FOLLOW-UP

    Apple's next flagship iPhone generation did see changes in pricing structures in various markets, with some effective price increases. The overall direction of Apple preserving or expanding high-end pricing power is consistent, but not every SKU saw a nominal price increase.