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    Services

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    RECEIPT #BEN-TH

    SEP 10, 2024

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Ben Thompson
    I wrote that Apple was in its middle age in 2018, when the company was 42 years old, a solidly millennial definition. My argument then was that Apple was increasingly — and rightly — behaving like an incumbent in a market that was no longer growing. That meant that future iPhone growth would come from (1) more expensive iPhones, (2) selling more devices to existing iPhone users (AirPods, Watches, etc.), and (3) accelerating the revenue it derived from services for iPhone users. That is exactly what the company did over the ensuing few years...

    FOLLOW-UP

    Thompson accurately predicted the three main growth vectors for Apple: more expensive iPhones, increased sales of ancillary devices, and accelerated services revenue. The article itself states that 'That is exactly what the company did over the ensuing few years...'