— Topic —

    Agency Holding Companies

    3 receipts tracked • 100% industry hit rate

    WPP, Publicis, Omnicom, IPG, Havas, Stagwell, Dentsu.

    — Filed —

    3 receipts on Agency Holding Companies

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    RECEIPT #KAWAJA

    NOV 14, 2024

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Terry Kawaja
    “2025 is going to be an excellent year for digital advertising. ... All of these things are leading to a much stronger 2025.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    The prediction came true as digital ad spending surged past $750 billion worldwide in 2025, confirmed by multiple reports (eMarketer, Oberlo, Dentsu), indicating significant growth. M&A activity also showed a rebound, as noted by IAB's outlook.

    RECEIPT #KAWAJA

    MAY 19, 2014

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Terry Kawaja
    “The recent flurry of media M&A activities, including the AT&T DirecTV deal, means that the big players are lining up their assets in advance of the inevitable convergence of TV and digital video.”

    FOLLOW-UP

    AT&T-DirecTV closed 2015; Disney-Fox 2019; WarnerMedia-Discovery 2022; converged TV/CTV is now the dominant ad-buying narrative. Kawaja called the structural arc a decade early.

    RECEIPT #KAWAJA

    JUN 23, 2014

    Called it.

    PREDICTION BY

    Terry Kawaja
    Paraphrase: Fragmentation happens, so get used to it.

    FOLLOW-UP

    Fragmentation continued exactly as Kawaja predicted: the LUMAscapes kept growing (martech alone hit 14,106 logos in 2024), and the consolidation buyers were told to stop waiting for never arrived at the long-tail level.