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    Advertising Ecosystem

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    RECEIPT #JOSHUA

    JAN 24, 2024

    Story still evolving.

    PREDICTION BY

    Joshua Lowcock
    Given everything that’s happening in the industry, from cookie deprecation to device ID deprecation to privacy regulation, long-tail publishers don’t have a long history left in them. They’re destined to die… the advertising ecosystem as it’s being rewritten just cannot sustain them.

    FOLLOW-UP

    While the 'destined to die' part is too absolute to fully confirm yet, the existential pressure on long-tail publishers due to cookie and device ID deprecation, alongside privacy regulation, is clearly observable. Many smaller, ad-dependent publishers face significant challenges, consolidation, or pivots, although some have survived by building direct models.